HEADLINE FIGURES:
February 2024 : 484 (18%) Excess Deaths
YTD 2024 : 968 (16.4%) Excess Deaths
Excess Deaths 2021 to 2024 : 17100
As per https://irelandexcessdeaths.com/ excess mortality as analysed from rip.ie .
The baseline for comparison is the five year average for 2015 to 2019.
These figures are analysed from rip.ie which is recognised by the GRO/CSO as a real time measure of mortality in Ireland. The GRO does its own analysis of rip.ie and submits it to Eurostat for their monthly excess mortality figures. The only difference being is that a 4 year baseline of 2016-2019 is used for Eurostat’s comparison.
ANALYSIS BY COUNTY:
NOTE: The analysis by county cannot be exact as when two counties are given for one death, the first county is used and the duplicate discarded. Off a small base, this can sometimes lead to exaggerated percentages.
YOUR HOME TOWN:
This website will also allow you to analyse your own town on rip.ie.
Give it a go as it might enlighten you if you don’t feel there has been an increase in excess deaths in your area.
Previously, I approached an undertaker in my area, Thomastown Co Kilkenny and asked him had he noticed an increase in funerals since 2020.
He said no.
I know him and don’t doubt his honesty but I found this hard to believe until I investigated the Thomastown figures on rip.ie
The death notice analysis showed excess deaths of 15.6% for 2023 but this amounted to only 5 extra funerals.
Why would the undertaker think that 5 extra funerals is going to stand out over a period of 12 months?
It’s not, but that doesn’t make it any less true.
The excess deaths mightn’t jump out at you in a small local area but this explains the undertaker’s answer to me.
The same figures applied all over the country add up to the thousands of excess deaths we have seen since 2021.
The 100% figure in the analysis relates to extra ‘sudden and unexpected’ deaths in Thomastown for 2023.
It’s ‘only 4’ extra and again maybe won’t attract attention locally over 12 months but if this is repeated nationally you get a better idea of the scale of the problem.
It’s like hundreds of frogs slowly being brought to the boil in individual pots.
None of them think there is anything unusual happening in their own pot regardless of the commis chef shouting at the top of his voice that someone has turned the heat up.
Have a look over the top of your ‘local pot’ to see what’s happening and don’t forget Head Chef Varadkar has previously denied the existence of boiling frogs.
PULL FORWARD EFFECT (or when the same is actually worse):
Over 80% of deaths occur in the 65+ age group.
We are seeing excess deaths since 2021 which include a majority of people in this age group.
Obviously these people can only die once and regardless of the fact that the amount of people aged 65+ is gradually increasing, at some stage the rate of dying should revert to nearer baseline because the death of these people has been brought forward as reflected in the excess death figures.
For example, after the 2016 Census, the CSO made mortality projections when it had up to date actuarial data available as below.
CSO predicted 32372 deaths for 2021.
34931 deaths for 2021 have been registered up to 30/6/23. Based on previous experience this will rise by another 800 approx. as registrations catch up.
CSO predicted 32877 deaths for 2022.
35029 deaths for 2022 have been registered up to 30/6/23. Based on previous experience this will rise by another 1500 approx. as registrations catch up.
CSO predicted 33434 deaths for 2023.
16513 deaths for 2023 have been registered up to 30/6/23. Significant deaths for 2023 will continue to be registered in Q3 & Q4 and into 2024.
In each year the projections have been significantly exceeded which means the actual figures should return to baseline or below in succeeding years as actuarially expected deaths have occurred earlier than expected.
But we are not seeing this happening.
Is it possible the ‘age of expectancy’ has fallen in the last few years when it has been on an upward trajectory since 1926.
If so, I wonder why?
THE GREAT RESET:
People can only die once but in these crazy times it’s getting to the stage where even having that acknowledged is a problem.
The ONS in the UK have decided to ‘fix’ their excess deaths problem by changing the baseline for comparison purposes.
It’s effectively ‘The Great Reset’ for the calculation of excess deaths.
Klaus Schwab must be wetting himself with excitement.
This picture from 1992 shows that this dystopian nightmare has been a long time in the planning but the good news is that they messed it up because they failed to account for the invincibility of the human spirit.
The reason I know, is that you are reading this and that all over the world people are awake to the Scamdemic, regardless of the fact that very few are acting on it.
A welcome positive I can see is that Schwab’s co conspirator in this dystopian nightmare, King Charles, might be moving ever so close to becoming an excess death statistic.
And that’s good news whatever way they count the death.
This is the formula they have come up with to ‘reset’ the baseline.
Yes I know.
You spotted it straight away.
They are engaging in ‘paltering’ which involves including the massive excess deaths for the period 2020 to 2023 in the baseline period for comparison purposes, effectively ‘normalising’ the excess deaths since the Scamdemic started.
This will have the effect of turning an ‘excess death’ into an ‘expected death’ and so bringing down their published headline excess deaths rates.
Excess deaths will be ‘back to normal’ and all those who pretended there was nothing strange going on for the last few years can go back to sleep and dream easily.
THE CSO AND OTHER GREAT MAGICIANS:
Now in Ireland the CSO don’t actually do anything useful such as publish an ‘excess death’ rate that they might be accountable for and justify their methodology.
No, the death registration process as it currently operates, allows them to drip feed mortality data to the public so that when it’s finally near complete, it is so far out of date that it is dismissed as ancient history.
For example the Annual Report for 2022 showing age analysed mortality of ACTUAL deaths occurring won’t be released until 31/10/24.
Yes, 22 months after year end and even then it won’t be complete because of outstanding inquests and further late registrations.
In a recent working paper the CSO, who don’t publish an excess death rate themselves, gave the auld nod and a wink to anyone who does, to engage in what the UK ONS have made official.
This working paper was ostensibly about using rip.ie figures as real time mortality data but they threw in this ‘doozie’ at the end for the likes of me to have sleepless nights over.
the ‘asterisked’ methods above, basically give the go ahead to include Irish excess deaths for 2021 onwards in any baseline for comparison purposes, thus normalising the excess deaths for 2021 to 2023 caused by whatever your having yourself and you already know my opinion on that.
THE FOLLOWING IS REPRODUCED IN FULL FROM A SUBSTACK IN OCTOBER WHEN I DISSECTED THE ABOVE CSO PROPOSAL
“Proposal to ‘normalise’ deaths in 2021, 2022 and 2023 for future calculations:
The reasoning behind this report was as a discussion document in trying to come up with a new basis period (baseline) for measuring excess deaths that doesn’t include 2020.
They say 2020 shouldn’t be included in the baseline because it was a ‘pandemic’ year and that there were loads of ‘Covid deaths’. As detailed above, there weren’t ‘loads’ of Covid deaths and of the few branded as such, there is no proof that they were dying ‘of’ Covid and not ‘with’ Covid.
This is the old magicians trick of getting you to focus on the need to exclude 2020 from the baseline and while you are considering this, you miss the fact that they are going to include the excess mortality for 2021, 2022, 2024 etc in the baseline.
The CSO are proposing the following baseline method: “Using a 4-year average that excludes 2020 would seem to be a reasonable compromise for monitoring trends in mortality. Particularly in years so close to the peak of the pandemic..”
The effect of this is that for 2022 and future years comparison purposes, the Covid 19 vax and lockdown damage deaths of 2021, 2022 & 2023 are ‘normalised’ as part of the average for 4 years.
This leads to an under reporting of excess deaths by stealth.
For 2025, the 4 year average for comparison purposes would comprise of 2021 to 2024.
These years have massive excess deaths due to obviously correlated vaccine and lockdown damage.
Under this proposal, if 2024 and 2025 repeated the mortality of 2022 (37000), the CSO would be able to report 2025 mortality as having ‘no material excess deaths’ when in actual fact the excess mortality would be 18%.
I cannot stress how important this is.
The ongoing murderous years of 2021 onwards will be ‘normalised’ for reporting purposes by the CSO and excess deaths will ‘disappear’.
You have been warned.
This proposal is Orwell’s ‘Memory Hole’ from 1984…. on steroids.”
Aren’t statisticians great gas altogether?
You couldn’t be up to their tomfoolery.
Strange the way Donegal the least vaccinated county also comes back bottom of the excess death lists
Thank you for this analysis and reporting.